Arizona Likely Voters
Regardless of whom you support, who do you think will be the Republican nominee to run against President Obama:
Newt Gingrich Mitt Romney Rick Santorum Ron Paul None of the above Undecided
Row % Row % Row % Row % Row % Row %
Arizona Likely Voters 7% 66% 14% 2% 1% 10%
Tea Party Supporters 7% 63% 18% 2% 1% 10%
Intensity of Tea Party Support Strongly support Tea Party 8% 58% 20% 2% 2% 10%
Support Tea Party 6% 66% 16% 2% 0% 10%
Does not support Tea Party 6% 72% 11% 2% 1% 9%
Political Ideology Liberal-Moderate 8% 69% 11% 2% 1% 9%
Conservative 7% 66% 14% 1% 1% 11%
Very conservative 6% 64% 18% 3% 0% 9%
Political Ideology Liberal-Moderate 8% 69% 11% 2% 1% 9%
Conservative-Very conservative 7% 65% 15% 2% 1% 10%
Past Participation** Yes 6% 67% 14% 2% 1% 11%
No 9% 66% 15% 6% 1% 3%
Republican Candidates Mitt Romney 4% 88% 3% 1% 1% 5%
Rick Santorum 2% 53% 36% 0% 1% 8%
Newt Gingrich 23% 50% 17% 1% 1% 8%
Ron Paul 9% 59% 6% 17% 0% 10%
Candidate Support Strongly support 7% 66% 14% 2% 1% 10%
Somewhat support 5% 73% 16% 2% 0% 4%
Might vote differently 14% 68% 11% 3% 1% 3%
Most Important Quality Shares your values 6% 61% 19% 2% 1% 10%
Is closest to you on the issues 7% 63% 15% 4% 1% 10%
Can beat President Obama in 2012 6% 72% 11% 1% 1% 9%
Has the experience to govern 9% 67% 14% 1% 1% 9%
Gender Men 6% 67% 15% 2% 1% 8%
Women 7% 65% 13% 2% 1% 12%
Age Under 45 9% 71% 11% 4% 0% 3%
45 or older 6% 65% 15% 1% 1% 11%
Region Maricopa County (Phoenix) 6% 68% 13% 2% 1% 10%
Pima County (Tucson) 7% 64% 17% 0% 0% 11%
Rest of State 10% 61% 15% 3% 0% 11%
Household Income Less than $75,000 6% 64% 16% 2% 1% 10%
$75,000 or more 6% 76% 11% 2% 0% 5%
Evangelical Christians 9% 61% 19% 1% 1% 8%
Tea Party-Conservative-Evangelical 8% 60% 20% 1% 2% 10%
Mormons are Christians Yes 6% 72% 11% 2% 0% 9%
No-Unsure 9% 57% 19% 2% 2% 12%
Education Not college graduate 10% 63% 14% 2% 1% 10%
College graduate 4% 69% 14% 2% 1% 10%
Interview Type Landline 6% 66% 14% 2% 1% 11%
Cell Phone 9% 68% 13% 4% 1% 6%
NBC News/Marist Poll Arizona Likely Republican Primary Voters. Interviews conducted February 19th and 20th, 2012, N=767 MOE +/- 3.5 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.
**Past participation refers to previous participation in an Arizona Republican Presidential Primary.